When any new technology is introduced to the IT market, it undergoes a number of typical “stages.” These start with a stage in which the product or service is relatively unknown, and is used only by those who have created it and a few companies “in the know.” Next, new coverts to the system will take it on as well, as will a number of other “early adopters.” A period of plateau follows, in which the service is judged on its merits and use, and if it passes tests on reputation, word of mouth, and effective use, it is taken on by the mainstream. Virtualization has now reached this point, and at a rate faster than predicted, according to CEO of CA Technologies Bill McCracken.
Not only that, says McCracken, but “the rate and pace is going to pick up.” At a recent press conference in New York, McCracken went on to say that “the industry estimates are wrong. You can write that down. It’s growing faster and moving faster than we’re predicting.” A recent Strategy Analytics survey indicated that tablet uptake in small businesses is helping to drive virtualization forward, which may lend credence to McCracken’s words.
From the view of an outsider to the industry, the pace of virtualization adoption certainly seems to be increasing, if television and banner ads can be believed. Regardless of its pace in terms of numbers, however, it is certainly making strides in the public and IT consciousness, even if providers don’t always agree on terms or exactly what VPS options and cloud offerings can do. While the expert’s predictions may be proven wrong as the technology advances, there is no question it has become a major mainstream force.